Archives for February 2020

Site Policies

February 11, 2020 by Leave a Comment

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Changes to this Policy

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Governing Law

This policy and the use of these sites are governed by Texas law. If a dispute arises under this Policy we agree to first try to resolve it with the help of a mutually agreed-upon mediator in the following location: Houston. Any costs and fees other than attorney fees associated with the mediation will be shared equally by each of us.

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Filed Under: General

Simple Stop Loss Strategies & Techniques

February 10, 2020 by Leave a Comment

Simple Stop Loss Strategies can be easily used with Japanese Candlestick trading.

One of the most often-asked questions we receive at the Candlestick Trading Forum is how to use candlestick analysis as part of a simple stop loss strategy.

The fact is, not only is candlestick analysis ideal for pinpointing the exact time the successful trader or investor should enter the trade, but it is equally valuable in stop loss strategies. The proper use of candlestick analysis provides a simple, visual representation of the exact point in time when the reason for buying or shorting no longer exists.

Once you deeply, truly understand candlestick trading tactics, you will soon come to the realization that most of trading is just plain common sense. But, as I believe Mark Twain said, “Common sense is not that common”.
It amazes me each and every day to see all these “brilliant” stock annotators and stock analysts attempt to explain what happened in the market that day. As if the market cared one bit about their stock market fundamental and technical analysis. But I guess these guys and gals are just trying to do their job, feeding the all-too-human need of “Having to Know Why Something Happened”.

Candlestick Traders don’t need to know “why something happened”. They just look at the candlestick chart patterns and know “something happened”. In a strong reversal pattern, “something happened’ to totally change the HUMAN EMOTIONS of the HUMAN BEINGS buying or selling that stock or commodity. After all, the candlestick patterns are simply the visual representation of human psychology – of Greed and Fear.

So, when using simple stop loss strategies in their overall stock trading system, the Candlestick Trader does not need to know WHY the stock is now going down after they bought it. The fact is, it IS going down. The psychology has changed.

Simple Stop Loss Strategies Involve Knowing The General Market Direction. The investment psychology of the market, in general, can be easily seen in the Japanese Candlestick signals. Use that stock market information to change the makeup of your portfolio. During “iffy” periods, having long and short positions will provide better probabilities to make profits, even when the direction of the market is not clear.

Stop Loss Strategies and Techniques using the candlestick method

Protecting your assets – that is the main objective for putting on stop losses. The stop loss objective is to provide a point where the reason for buying or shorting becomes null and void. Many stock market strategies incorporate stop loss objectives into their trading formulas for closing a trade gone sour. Usually this is done by establishing a percentage loss as the parameter. Here is the first myth to be bashed: The candlestick method completely disregards a preset formula for stopping out.

One of the major investing mistakes is using a prescribed percentage as the stop loss. Your purchase price becomes an important function of where you are to stop out. The stock market investing advice given by some investment advisors recommends three percent as the stop-out level. Others suggest eight percent. But where you buy a trade position now becomes the quantitative element of where you should place your stop.

The most important factor for establishing a stop loss is very basic. What price point would indicate the established trend has been negated? This now becomes a stop loss level established based upon the trend being stalled and/or negated.

As with all of candlestick analysis, this becomes a ?common sense? evaluation. If you have put on a long position based upon a bullish buy signal, where would the price have to back off to confirm that the sellers were still in control?

A signal has significant meaning. Knowing that, the thought process for when to stop out of a trade becomes easy. A buy signal indicates a new trend. What would counter that ?indication??

Probabilities mean being in that trade has favorable odds for profitability, not any guarantees. Even though a majority of trades will work using the signals, some trades won?t work. Keeping that mindset in focus as well as other candlestick basics, stop loss analysis creates a format for identifying when a trade is not working and getting out of the trade as soon as possible.

Establishing the stop loss point involves using the same common sense approach incorporated throughout the candlestick method and other stock investing concepts.

Studying stock chart patterns will vastly improve your ability to recognize when and where a stop loss should be placed on a trade. Study candlestick chart formations with extensive downtrends. Often a fizzled buy signal can be found. Recognize what the trading candles did after the buy signal and what selling candles negated the buy signal.
Keep in mind that all trades do not work. Learn to move out of those trades and move to other trades immediately.

Filed Under: Free Resources

Margin Trading

February 7, 2020 by Leave a Comment

When buying stocks on margin you can think of it as acquiring a loan from your brokerage firm. This type of trading allows the investors to buy more stock than they normally would be allowed to if he or she didn’t have a margin account.

Margin trading is all about leveraging. Leverage is the use of financial instruments or borrowed capital, to increase the potential return on investment. If you pick a good investment margin can drastically increase your profit, however it can also have the opposite effect if you don’t pick the right investment. Leveraging is great for helping investors and firms to invest and to operate even though it comes with great risk. It is just important to remember however, that leverage magnifies both gains and losses when investing in the stock market.

In order to buy stock on margin, you first must set up a margin account with a firm which is different from a cash account. There is a minimum deposit required that depends on the firm but is typically at least $2,000 if not more when margin trading. Once you have the margin account ready to go, then you can borrow up to 50% of the purchase price of the stock, but you don’t have to. You can borrow as little as 10% if you would like to when trading stock on margin. The requirement when margin trading is that your profits go to your stock broker against the prepayment of the loan first, and then you receive the rest. If after you pay back your broker your margin account goes below its minimum then a margin call occurs. You would then have to deposit more funds into your margin account to meet the minimum or sell stock to pay down the loan.

In addition to understanding margin calls and opening a margin account, you must understand the interest payments due. When margin trading, the securities in the account are collateral and you have to pay interest on your loan. This is why most traders buy stocks on margin when they are short term trading. The longer you hold the investment the more interest charges you will accrue. If when stock trading using a margin account you hold the investment for long amount of time, then the least likely you are to actually make a profit. As time passes and your debt level increases, the interest charges accrue and you lose money.

Margin trading is a great way to make money investing in stock, commodities, etc, however it requires a great amount of knowledge, focus, discipline and dedication. You must trade smart and you cannot let your emotions take over when trading on margin.

Market Direction

Most investors have a difficult time making money in the markets because they do not have a viable trading program. The first essential element of a successful trading program requires the identification of a price move. The reason most investors jump from one trading program to the next is due to the lack of confidence of the success of that trading program. The lack of success is usually created by two simple functions. The first is the credibility of a trading program. An investor needs to be convinced that trading program works profitably. There are hundreds of trading programs on the market that tell that they have found the “secret” for making big profits in the market. Obviously, an extremely high percentage have not found the secret because they have come and gone. Even successful trading programs require another important element. They have to be utilized correctly. Unfortunately, this creates a Catch-22. How many days, months, years does an investor spent on learning a trading system correctly? The gamble becomes how much time and effort will I put into learning how to use a trading program successfully when I’m not totally confident the trading program is a truly profitable program.

Candlestick analysis provides that initial key element! It does work successfully! Why is that true? Because if it didn’t, it would not be in existence today. It would have come and gone just like the many thousands of supposedly foolproof trading systems that have been marketed to the public for decades. Candlestick analysis works! The only aspect for making profits from the market is learning how to use candlestick analysis correctly. Imagine how you could improve your returns dramatically if you could place the proper trading strategy to the positions in your trading program. Having the confidence that the candlestick trading system works with a high percentage of profitable trades allows for concentrating on the best trading strategy to exploit profits. That can include margin strategies as well as option strategies. If a trading program has proven itself through hundreds of years of profitable results, an investor can then devise the best trading strategy or leverage to extract large profits from the markets.

Having the confidence to implement the proper trading strategy, without an underlying fear the basic trading program may or may not work, is extremely important for executing the correct trades. Knowing which direction a stock price should be moving allows for the assessment of the correct strategy. WRI is a recommended position for the longer-term investor. It is a REIT that is managed in a very conservative manner. It pays a $2.10 dividend. The price has been devastated just like all the REITs over this past year. The candlestick signals recently revealed  good bottoming action. The price could move back up to the 200 day moving average, the $22 area. What would be the best trading strategy for this position? An option trade would create the best leverage. However, an option trade would not be able to take advantage of the current 17% dividend payout.

A margin trade may make much more sense. Buying the stock at $12.36 would produce close to an 90% return if the price move back up to the 200 a moving average. Buying two times the amount of stock using margin will make a very compelling trade. If the margin rate is 5%, the additional stock that can be bought on margin would produce a net 12% gain based upon the 17% dividend yield minus the 5% margin cost. Now the position yields 29% on its dividends while waiting for the possible 90% move to the upside. The worst-case scenario might be the stock trades relatively flat if  the market was going flat. If the price does not move, a 29% dividend yield is still very worthwhile.

Margin Traind WRI

WRI

Candlestick analysis is merely a recognition of what investor sentiment has done in the past. The use of the candlesticks in different patterns and formations dramatically improves the participation potential of high profit price moves. As illustrated in the RIMM chart, simple candlestick analytical assessments help produce a very profitable option trading strategy. A test of the 50 day moving average, followed by a pullback to the T-line, followed by another test and breach of the 50 day moving average is usually an indication the Bulls will participate heavily with the formation of a Jayhook pattern breaching a major resistance level, the 50 day moving average. The results are simple. If the 50 day moving average is breached, obviously it is not acting as a resistance level anymore and the results of the Jayhook pattern should be in progress. These are not difficult setups to identify. They do represent new bullish investor sentiment potential.

Margin Trading, RIMM

RIMM

Recognizing the same pattern set up allows for powerful option strategies to be put into place. Candlestick analysis is merely the visual recognition of high profit trade setups. How an investor uses that information correctly dictates how strong returns will be. Take advantage of the information that has worked successfully for centuries. Then learn the trading strategies that can best exploit that information for big profits. You can control your own investment future by learning how to apply trade strategies that fit your comfort level.
Chat session tonight at 8 PM ET for members.

Good investing,
The Candlestick Forum Team

Filed Under: Free Newsletters

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February 6, 2020 by Leave a Comment

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